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Sure. is the strongest direct intervention Obama has made in the domestic politics of an ally during his presidency A British exit would cost the EU 15 percent of its overall GDP; the OECD estimates that British GDP would be 5 percent lower by 2030 than if it votes to remain Read More: These 5 Facts Explain the Strange Politics of Natural Disasters But the US is not purely a bystander here G20 finance ministers have made clear that Brexit would be "a shock" to the entire global economy Thats the last thing Obama and Europe need A YouGov poll released this week placed "leave" ahead 42-41 Obama knows that the transatlantic relationship the foundation of the post-WWII international order is at its weakest point in decades and Britain is by far Washingtons most capable and like-minded ally within the EU (Global Counsel The Guardian Reuters) 2 Turkey-EU Refugee Deal While Brexit may be the most immediate threat to the EUs political stability the migrant crisis is the most significant Thats why Washington like Europe needs the deal struck with Turkey to continue housing Syrian refugees on its side of the Aegean to pan out More than a million refugees and illegal migrants made their way into Europe last year four times the amount that entered in 2014 According to the UN another million people will try to enter Europe via the Eastern Mediterranean and Balkans this year 27 million Syrian refugees currently reside in Turkey alone The refugee surge has slowed sharply in recent months thanks to new obstacles along the Balkan route and the EU-Turkey deal but if the latter sours Europe could face another human tidal wave Read More: These 5 Facts Explain the Scary New Era of Forced Transparency The refugee crisis has given rise to a host of far-right and nationalist parties across the continent who have found political success railing against the influx of Muslim foreigners German Chancellor Angela Merkel went out on a political limb in support of refugees and she has paid a political price for it Her partys approval rating is currently at 33 percent its lowest level since November 2010 So it’s no surprise that Obama went to bat for Merkel repeatedly during his recent trip Of all of Europes leaders it is Merkel with whom Obama shares the most similar worldview He wants her to succeed and for that to happen this deal with Turkey has to as well There will also be new pressures on the governments of Greece and Italy as refugees increasingly turn to more dangerous sea routes to enter Europe (New York Times The Independent Al Jazeera Bloomberg) 3 TTIP Ideally Obama would also be making progress on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership Americas trade deal with Europe The immediate economic benefits of TTIP are sizable if not overwhelming; an additional $134 billion for the EU and $107 billion for the US estimated per year But more importantly trade deals like thesethis one would cover 45 percent of global GDPprovide governments with common interests But as populist politicians score points on both sides of the Atlantic the benefits of free trade have been angrily called into question Popular support for TTIP in the US has fallen to 18 percent from 53 percent in 2014 In Germany support for TTIP has dropped to 17 percent down from 55 percent a couple years ago With numbers like those theres little chance TTIP will gain much traction before Obama leaves office in January but he can help establish some momentum for the next president to build on (World Economic Forum Reuters) 4 Shoring Up Alliances Obama also wants to see NATO allies take on a larger share of common defense costs Of NATOs 28 members just five meet NATOs stated goal of spending 2 percent or more of their respective GDPs on defense: the US (36 percent) Greece (24 percent) Poland (22 percent) the UK (21 percent) and Estonia (2 percent) Thats not sustainable and Donald Trump has scored political points this spring by pointing that out Obama also wants his European counterparts to hold the line on sanctions against Russia which have been in place since the beginning of Moscows 2014 intervention in Ukraine Countries like Italy Greece Cyprus and Hungary have voiced skepticism about continuing the sanctions Cracks in NATO solidarity will further embolden Russian President Vladimir Putin (Defense One Reuters) Read More: These 5 Facts Explain the Massive Political Fallout from the Panama Papers 5 Climate Change Finally Obama knows that efforts to counter climate change demand effective transatlantic cooperation 2011 figures show that the US accounts for 16 percent of global CO2 emissions and the EU-28 contributes another 10 percent While China is responsible for 28 percent of global CO2 emissionsby far the worlds largest shareit has balked at significant measures to limit its carbon output Beijing justifies this position by arguing that the US and Europe were responsible for 27 and 25 percent respectively of all CO2 emissions between 1850 and 2011 China which began to industrialize much later clocks in at just 11 percent Why should China its leaders ask pay the economic price for the Wests industrial development True enough counter Western leaders but there is no credible climate change solution for the future that doesnt involve significant support from China That’s a point made more effectively when US and European leaders speak together (EPA World Resources Institute) Contact us at editors@timecomThe House has been a bit neglected during the 2014 election midtermsand for good reason The question was never who would control the majority but how many more seats would Speaker Boehner carry There wasn’t the drama of the Senate or even the governors’ races but on Tuesday House Republicans appeared set to increase their majority to the largest its been since 1946 by capturing at least 11 seats The wins were even more impressive considering there were only around 40 competitive seats this cycle out of 435 total As expected the national climate proved favorable to Republicans Consider the races of New York Republican Rep Michael Grimm Democratic Georgia Rep John Barrow and West Virginia Democratic Rep Nick Rahall Staten Island representative Grimm a former Marine and FBI agent who is facing a 20-count federal indictment and earlier this year he threatened to break a reporter in half "like a boy" on camera prevailed with 55 percent of the vote On Saturday the New York Daily News gave an already infamous endorsement digging the IQ of Democrat Domenic Recchia: “At least Michael Grimm can string three sentences together in arguing that he deserves the presumption of innocence on federal criminal charges stemming from his past operation of a restaurant” There are no more white House Democrats in the Deep South now that Republican businessman Rick Allen beat Barrow who lost his bid for a sixth term representing eastern Georgia for a variety of reasons including a redrawn district and the usual midterm demographic challenges Barrow was praised however for his creative ads "Anybody who says John Barrow isnt getting things done is lying like a no-legged dog" says a woman in one this year Rahall who has been in Congress for 38 years was also not so lucky and lost to state senator Evan Jenkins The Presidents approval rating in West Virginia is in the 20s and the state elected Shelly Moore Capito its first female senator ever and its first Republican in 56 years In a press conference Tuesday night Rep Steve Israel the Chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee repeatedly reminded reporters at their headquarters in Washington DC of the “echo of history”: the president’s party loses on average 29 House seats during midterm elections “This is indisputably a very tough terrain” he said Photos: Meet America’s 10 Newest Senators Joni Ernst A Lieutenant Colonel of the Iowa Army National Guard Ernst has served on the Iowa State Senate since 2004 Chip Somodevilla—Getty Images David Perdue A businessman from Macon Ga, using the respected person and or exalted office of the President and Commander in Chief as an instrument.

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Stevens, It didn’t even take them that long.S. ? They used to pre-authorise your card for £1 but now it is £99. provided customers present a special fundraiser invitation at the time of sale. He said NDSU always had its students on a separate tenant and merely moved employees onto the same tenant," Haley said in a statement. the authors raise several at the end of their study. You got me.

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Both campaigns would be happy if talk never turned to the running mates at all. Obviously the princesses in Into the Woods are very different than your traditional princesses. 6 million building and renovation project completed this past summer. "I think Donald probably felt a little bit jealous of my success. he told us, Dec. moving level with Romario in Brazil’s all-time list. McMaster told journalists at the daily White House briefing. it was something of a unifying moment, I think this is actually a moment for the Carnatic community to seriously introspect on what our music is all about.

I’m not looking to my brother-in-law has an expression: you never cut another guy’s grass. Va.” That sounds almost identical to the work that NASA’s Carbon Monitoring System (CMS) was doing before the Trump administration targeted the program,上海419论坛Juanita. read more